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时间:2022-06-21 19:05:03

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  Diff er entiation

 in

 ASEAN, ECOW AS

 and

 MERCOSUR:

 A

 Compar ativ e

 Analysis

  Bar t

 Gaens, Bernar do

 V enturi and

 Anna

 A yuso

  This

 pr oject has

 r eceived

 funding fr om

 the

 E ur opean

 Union ’ s Horiz on

 2020 r esear ch and

 inno v ation pr ogramme under

 grant agreement

 No

 822622

 Diff erentiation

 in

 ASEAN,

 ECOW AS

 and MERCOSUR:

 A

 Compar ativ e

 Analysis

  Bar t

 Gaens,

 Bernar do

 V enturi and

 Anna

 A yuso

  Abstract

 This

 policy

 paper

 explor es

 how

 div erse

 modes of

 diff er entiation occur

 in r egions

 be y ond

 E ur ope.

 F r om

 the

 perspectiv e

 of

 compar ativ e

 r egionalism, the

 paper

 examines

 how

 the

 pr actice

 of

 diff er entiation

 facilitates

 flexibility and

 accommodates

 div ersity

 in

 r egional

 cooper ation pr ocesses

 in

 Asia, Africa and

 Latin

 America.

 Examining

 the

 Association of

 Southeast

 Asian Nations

 (A SEAN),

  the

  E conomic

  Community

 of

  W est

 African

  States (ECOW AS)

 and

 the

 Southern

 Common Market ( Mer cado

 Común

 del

 Sur , MERCOSUR),

 the

 paper

 analyses

 how

 diff er entiation is applied

 and

 how it

 ties

 in

 with

 primarily

 tr ade

 integr ation.

 Specifically ,

 the

 paper

 assesses whether

 diff er entiation leads

 t o centrifuga l

 or centripetal

 dynamics,

 and it

 examines

 the

 impact

 of

 diff er entiation on

 internal

 as

 well

 as

 external cooperation.

 After comparing the

 thr ee

 cases,

 the

 paper

 draws policy r ecommendations for

 the

 EU.

 Bar t

 Gaens

 is Senior

 Resear ch F ellow

 at

 the

 Finnish

 Institute of

 International

 Affairs (FII A).

 Bernar do V enturi

 is Senior

 F ellow

 at

 the

 Istitut o Affari Internazionali

 (I AI).

 Anna

 A yuso

 is Senior

 Resear ch F ellow

 at

 the

 Bar celona

 Centr e

 for

 International Affairs (CIDOB).

  Ex ecutiv e

 summar y

  Dr awing

 lessons

 fr om

 practices

 in the

 Association

 of

 Southeast

 Asian Nations

 (ASEAN), the

 E conomic

 Community

 of

 W est

 African

 States (ECOW AS)

 and the

 Southern Common Market

 ( Mer cado

 Común

 del

 Sur ,

 MERCOSUR),

 this

 policy

 paper argues that

 diff er entiation, including

 mu lti-speed,

 concentric

 cir cles,

 multiple

 sub-or ganisations

 and à

 la

 car te ,

 is

 a “ normal”, e v en

 essential element

 of

 r egional cooper ation

 pr ocesses: •

 it

 is

 a

 k e y

 instrument

 t o

 tackle

 heterogeneity and dev elopment

 disparities; •

 it pr omotes

 flexibility ,

 and

 pr eser v es

 state

 so v er eignty;

 •

 it

  accommodates

  the

  pr ef er ences

 for

  so ver eignty ,

  intergo v ernmentalism

  and

 non- inter f er ence;

 •

 it

 enables progr ess and av oids

 the

 paralysis gener ated

 b y

 the

 emphasis

 on

 consensus

 decision-making,

 for

 example

 b y

 facilitating

 pathfinder

 gr oups;

 •

 it

 can

 function

 as a

 def ensiv e

 component

 on

 the

 par t

 of

 weak er

 states.

  While

 facilitating

 cooper ation, diff er entiation

 can

 also

 r esult

 in centrifugal

 dynamics

 and sustain

 or

 lead

 t o

 fr agmentation:

 •

 it

 can

 cr eate “ elite ”

 gr oups;

 •

 It

 can

 exacerbate existing

 clea v ages,

 and ultimatel y

 only mak es

 a

 modest

 contribution t o

 closing

 the

 dev elopment

 gap;

 •

 internal

 diff er ences can

 lead

 t o

 the

 cr eation

 of

 “ nested” sub-organisations; •

 mor e

 power ful

 states

 can

 use it

 t o

 impose

 their

 agenda;

 •

 it

 can

 incr ease

 competition

 for

 r esour ces

 among

 external act ors,

 and the

 involv ement of

 the

 latter

 can

 r esult

 in intr a-or ganisational

 rifts.

 A t

 the

 interr egional le v el

 it

 can

 lead t o

 a

 bilater al and fr agmen ted

 approach

 t o

 E conomic

 P ar tnership

 Agr eements

 (EP As), r ather

 than

 t o

 r egion-t o-r egion tr ade

 deals.

  Thr ee

 recommendations

 can

 be

 consider ed:

  1. First,

 diff er entiation

 in

 other

 r egions

 off ers

 lesson s

 in

 flexibility ,

 pr o viding

 models

 of how

 flexible

 fr ameworks

 can

 be

 cr eated

 while

 r especting

 national

 economic

 needs.

  2. The

 EU

 can

 off er

 its

 own

 exper tise

 t o

 other

 r egions in or der t o

 apply diff er entiation

 in fields

 be y ond

 the

 economy ,

 including

 security

 or

 political

 cooper ation,

 in

 cases

 wher e non-homogeneous

  and

  flexible

  cooper ation

  can

  contribute

  t o

  deepening

  r egional integr ation.

  3. Thir d,

 in light

 of

 one of

 the

 cor e

 drivers of

 diff er entiation

 in the

 thr ee

 cases analysed, namely

 the

  diff er ent

  le v els

 in

 dev elopment,

 the

  EU

  should

  continue

  t o

  seek

  t o contribute

 t o

 the

 closing

 of

 the

 dev elopment

 gap in other

 r egions,

 in or der t o

 facilitate oppor tunities

 for

 r egion-t o-r egion inter action.

 Intr oduction

 This

 policy

 paper

 tak es

 a

 comparativ e

 appr oach

 in

 or der

 t o explor e

 how div erse modes of

 diff er entiation occur in

 r egions

 be y ond

 E ur ope.

 F r om

 the

 perspectiv e

 of comparativ e

  r egionalism,

  the

  paper

  examines

  how

 the

  practice

 of

  diff er entiation facilitates

 flexibility

 and

 accommodates

 div ersity

 in

 r egional

 cooper ation

 pr ocesses in

 Asia,

 Africa and

 Latin

 America.

 Examining

 the

 Association of

 Southeast

 Asian Nations (ASE AN),

 the

 E conomic

 Community of

 W est African

 States

 (ECOW AS)

 and the

 Southern

 Common Market ( Mer cado

 Común

 del

 Sur ,

 MERCOSUR),

 the

 paper analyses

 how diff er entiation is applied

 in

 these

 r egional

 or ganisations

 and

 how it ties in

 with

 primarily tr ade

 integration.

  As

 ar gued

 b y

 Su

 (2007:

 56)

 and

 W arleigh-Lack

 (2015:

 876),

 diff er entiation includes thr ee

 main types:

 multi-speed,

 in

 which member states pursue

 the

 same

 collectiv e objectiv es

  but

  at

  diff er ent

  times;

  concentric

 cir cles,

  also

  ref err ed

  t o

 as

  v ariable geometr y ,

 consisting of

 v arious

 tiers of

 member states or ganised

 ar ound

 a

 “har d nucleus”,

  and

  deriving

  fr om

  member

 states’

  long-term

 inability

  t o

 implement

 a policy;

  and

  à

 la

 car te

 diff er entiation,

  which

 off ers

  member

 states

 the

  choice

  not t o

 participate,

  r egar dless

  of

  capacity ,

  r esulting

  in

  policy

  r egimes

  with

  diff er ent memberships.

 It

 is clear

 that

 applying

 categories

 such as

 these,

 dev eloped

 in

 the EU,

 t o other or ganisation s is a

 challenge,

 not

 in

 the

 least

 because

 the

 thr ee

 cases analysed

 her e

 ar e

 inter go v ernmental,

 r ather

 than supr anational,

 or ganisations.

 This paper

 therefor e

 focuses on

 political r ather

 than institutional or legal

 pr actices,

 and on

 pragmatic approache s t o managing

 heterogeneity .

 “Diff er entiated

 integr ation ”

 in these

 cases

 thus applies

 primarily t o r egional

 inter go v ernmental

 cooperation.

  Thr ee

  r egional

  or ganisations

  fr om

  the

  Global

  South

  wer e

  chosen

  as

  cases

  for comparison. ASEAN,

 ECOW AS

 and

 MERCOSUR

 seek

 t o establish

 fr ee

 tr ade

 ar eas, and

 each

 r epr esents

 the

 most

 complex and

 adv anced

 system of

 integr ation and coordination in

 its

 r espectiv e

 r egion, 1

  allowing

 for

 a

 limited comparison with

 the

 EU. In

 addi tion,

 the y

 all

 centr e

 on

 tr ade

 integr ation,

 which facilitates comparison between them. How does

 diff er entiation occur in

 these

 r egional

 or ganisations?

 Is

 it

 true that diff er entiation should

 be

 seen

 as

 a

 “ neutr al

 and

 t o-be-anticipated”

 f eatur e

 of

 r egional integr ation,

 as

 well

 as

 “ an

 enduring,

 and

 possibl y

 permanent”

 one

 ( W arleigh-Lack 2015:

 872)?

 Does

 it

 accommodate wide

 discr epancies

 in

 economic dev elopment or div ersity

 of

 national

 inter ests (Su

 2007,

 Leuff en

 2013,

 Aimsir anun

 2020)?

 Does

 it

 lead t o fr agmenta tion, or

 does

 it

 facilitate

 flexibility?

 Finally ,

 what

 r ole

 does

 diff er entiation pla y

 in

 r elations

 with

 the

 external

 world?

 After briefly

 sur v e ying

 the

 thr ee

 or ganisations, this

 policy

 paper

 addr esses

 these

 questions b y

 pro viding

 an

 o v er view

 of

 practices of

 diff er entiated

 cooper ation,

 dr awing

 comparativ e

 conclusions,

 and

 off ering

 policy recommendations for

 the

 EU.

 1

 The

 cases

 of

 MERCOSUR and

 ASEAN ar e

 clear

 in

 this

 r egar d.

 The

 selection

 of

 ECOW AS

 r ather than the

 African

 Union

 is based

 on

 the

 fact

 that

 the

 latter ’ s Continental

 F r ee

 T r ade

 Ar ea

 project is far fr om

 being

 a

 r eality ,

 and

 it

 is ECOW AS

 that

 has

 made

 the

 most

 progr ess

 along

 this

 path on

 the

 African continent.

  1. ASEAN,

 ECOW AS

 and

 MERCOSUR: The

 back gr ound

 Needless

 t o sa y ,

 the

 thr ee

 r egional

 or ganisations

 in

 the

 Global

 South

 ar e

 v ery

 diff er ent fr om

 each

 other and

 fr om

 the

 EU

 in

 terms

 of

 membership,

 hist or y ,

 siz e,

 GD P ,

 tr ade, debt and

 stages

 of

 integr ation (cf. T able

 1).

  T able

 1

 |

 ASEAN,

 ECOW AS,

 MERCOSUR

 and

 the

 EU

 at

 a

 glance

 ASEAN

 ECOW AS

 MERCOSUR

 EU

 Member

 states

 Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos,

 Mala ysia, Myanmar , Philippines, Singapor e, Thailand, Vietnam

 Benin,

 Burkina F aso,

 Cabo V er de,

 Côte d’Iv oir e,

 Gambia, Ghana,

 Guinea, Guinea

 Bissau, Liberia,

 Mali, Niger ,

 Nigeria, Senegal,

 Sierr a Leone,

 T ogo Argentina, Br azil,

 P ar agua y , Urugua y

  Suspended: V enezuela

  In

 r atification:

 Bolivia

 A ustria,

 Belgium, Bulgaria,

 Cr oatia, Cyprus,

 Cz ech Rep.,

 Denmark, Est onia,

 Finland, F r ance,

 Germany , Gr eece,

 Hungar y , Ir eland,

 Italy , Latvia,

 Lithuania, L ux embour g Malta, Netherlands, P oland,

 P or tugal, Romania, Slo v akia, Slo v enia,

 Spain, Sweden

 Y ear

 of

 cr eation

 1967

 1975

 1991

 1957

 P opulation

 (million people)

 649.6

 376.8

 304.8

 514.7

 Combined

 GDP (million

 US

 dollars)

 2,955

 615

 2,627.5

 18,417.4

 GDP

 per

 capita

 (US dollars)

 4,549

 1,632

 8,622

 35,781

 T otal

 mer chandise tr ade

 2018

 (billion US

 dollars)

 2,882.9

 206.2

 638.8

 12,959.6

 T otal

 tr ade

 in commercial ser vices,

 2018 (billion

 US

 dollars)

 773.5

 69.1

 153.8

 4,678.1

 Debt

 (% of

 GDP)

 45.92

 36.59

 84.68

 80.75

 Le v el

 of

 integr ation

 Regional or ganisation; political, economic,

 s...

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